Confirmation Bias: Why You Only See What You Already Believe
The most dangerous cognitive bias is the one you don't notice. A guide to catching yourself filtering reality.
Logic & Reasoning
Tools for thinking clearly in a world of noise.
Logical Fallacies You Commit Every Day
Ad hominem, straw man, false dichotomy, appeal to authority — a field guide to errors in everyday arguments.
Bayesian Thinking for Everyday Decisions
Update your beliefs with new evidence — proportionally, not all at once. The mathematics of rational minds.
The Dunning-Kruger Effect: Confidence ≠ Competence
Why beginners overestimate their skill and experts underestimate theirs. And what to do about it.
Correlation vs. Causation: A Practical Guide
Ice cream sales and drowning deaths both rise in summer. Does ice cream kill? How to spot spurious connections.
Steel-Manning: The Opposite of a Straw Man
Argue against the strongest version of your opponent's position. The practice that makes you actually right, not just "winning."